Friday, November 20, 2009
Who's Hot and Who's Not for Week 11
Due to time restrictions these days (if only I could write this blog for a living), the entries may not be as long as they used to be, but the advice is just as sound!
Matthew Stafford (DET) vs. Cleveland
All that really needs to be known here is that Stafford is facing the Cleveland Browns. That team is bad mix of sad, pathetic and confused. In addition, Stafford's chemistry with star receiver Calvin Johnson seems to be back in play after last week's great outing between the rookie and Megatron. Expect Stafford to post better numbers than the below-mentioned David Garrard, Joe Flacco and Jay Cutler this week at the very least.
The Line: 34 attempts, 25 completions, 246 yards passing, 2 passing touchdowns
Brandon Jacobs (NYG) vs. Atlanta
The Giants Big Bad Bruiser should enjoy a grand day against the not-so-great Falcons defense. Once touted as an up-and-coming threat defensively, the Falcons have failed to live up to such ideals. Though he'll still be sharing time with Ahmad Bradshaw, Jacobs should still punish the Atlanta defensive line and grab a touchdown to boot.
The Line: 15 carries, 62 yards rushing, 2 rushing touchdowns
Beanie Wells (ARI) vs. St. Louis
This talented rookie should be more widely owned. He's clearly the more talented back for Arizona, who is capable of breaking tackles and bouncing around like a human pinball to get the score. With the dreamiest of matchups against St. Louis, Wells should be used extensively once the game gets to its later stages. He is certainly better at clock control football than Tim Hightower and continues to improve in the passing game, though that is definitely where he loses touches to Hightower. I would play Wells over any back who has a scary matchup this week, such as the ones listed below as sits.
The Line: 17 carries, 103 yards rushing, 1 rushing touchdown, 2 receptions, 20 yards receiving
Ricky Williams (MIA) vs. Carolina
Bye-bye Ronnie Brown. We will miss you. Hello Ricky! Moving forward from the season-ending injury to Brown, the Dolphins will likely be looking to Williams as their primary ball-carrier, with Lex Hillard stealing some of the work. It will be a different ball game without the pass threat of Ronnie Brown, but ol' Ricky has proven himself a more than capable feature back this season. His matchup against Carolina this week is a good one, especially since Miami will have to avoid passing even more than usual against the surprisingly tough Panthers pass defense. This week will determine if Williams is a top-10 back going forward, so pay attention if you own him.
The Line: 22 carries, 96 yards rushing, 1 rushing touchdown
Steve Breaston (ARI) vs. St. Louis
The Line: 5 receptions, 72 yards receiving, 1 receiving touchdown
Nate Burleson (SEA) vs. Minnesota
The Line: 6 receptions, 87 yards receiving
Brent Celek (PHI) vs. Chicago
The experts certainly called it right when they said Celek was the major sleeper at tight end this year. He's been a consistent producer who has a few big games here and there to further his value. There's no good reason not to play Celek over big names such as Antonio Gates and Jason Witten. To top it all off, the Bears have trouble with tight ends, further increasing Celek's value and placing him in must-start territory for the tight end position.
The Line: 8 receptions, 91 yards receiving
David Garrard (JAC) vs. Buffalo
A lot of players have got Garrard sitting on their team and use him for matchup play. I want to officially put an end to this idea. I've purged Garrard from all my team due to his striking inconsistencies. The Jaguars offense will have to keep it on the ground against an interception heavy Bills defense. Garrard may see the end zone once, but his chances of throwing picks are much stronger, especially with the ball-hunting rookie Jairus Byrd in the secondary for Buffalo.
The Line: 29 attempts, 14 completions, 184 yards passing, 3 interceptions, 3 carries, 10 yards rushing
Marshawn Lynch (BUF) vs. Jacksonville
While the Jaguars defense can be picked on from time to time, at home they can be a tough unit, especially on the ground. It seems that Fred Jackson is the more exciting back for Buffalo, while Lynch is simply the higher-paid option. Though Lynch may be seeing a heftier workload in traditional forms, Jackson is the go-to back for the Wildcat formation, which should be a bigger factor for the Bills going forward. This week, Lynch will look even more mortal than usual between losing touches and facing a stout front seven.
The Line: 12 carries, 35 yards rushing
Ryan Grant (GB) vs. San Francisco
The Packers offense is obviously pass-centric with Aaron Rodgers at the helm. Though Grant is the obvious starter for them, he is losing touches to Ahman Green and Brandon Jackson. In the red zone, things are rather unpredictable and San Francisco is a tough team to run against. This week, bench Grant in favor of a better matchup play or strong second-stringer, such as Jonathon Stewart or Ahmad Bradshaw.
The Line: 18 carries, 67 yards rushing, 2 receptions, 9 yards receiving
Joseph Addai (IND) vs. Baltimore
Addai is a tough back to play already, due to his unpredictability, but this week you can lean on the stingy Ravens defense to put a stopper on the back. It's unlikely that Addai will see significant gains against Baltimore and the Colts will have to keep the ball in the hands of their holiest treasure, Peyton Manning, in order to secure their 11th win. Unless Addai suddenly becomes the front man for a Wildcat formation, only play him in tasty matchups.
The Line: 11 carries, 38 yards rushing, 1 reception, 16 yards receiving
Roy Williams (DAL) vs. Washington
This receiver just puts a bad taste on the tongue of every fantasy football player. Though he did offer up some surprises, there is no good reason to gamble on Williams against the stalwart Washington pass defense. Williams will have a rough day against the divisional rival and could be shut down entirely, even with Miles Austin suffering double-coverage. Don't gamble on the Dallas Diva.
The Line: 2 receptions, 30 yards receiving
Devin Hester (CHI) vs. Philadelphia
One of the main reasons to bench Hester is due to his quarterback this week. Cutler is coming off of a horrendous performance and now has to face the Eagles defense. The likelihood of him forcing passes and throwing interceptions is the same likelihood that Adrian Peterson has yet another successful fantasy outing for owners. It's going to happen, with his receiving corps suffering along with him. Hester should be very limited in his unfavorable matchup versus Asante Samuel. There are better options out there, so sit Hester.
The Line: 3 receptions, 42 yards receiving
Kellen Winslow (TB) vs. New Orleans
Sure he's a star and all that good stuff, but the going will be tough for the Bucs against the Saints this week. While the Saints seem to fluctuate from week to week, they won't underestimate Josh Freeman and company, which means bad things for Winslow. Though he'll still likely see some targets and receptions, his day won't be as productive as most others, making him a flex play at best.
The Line: 4 receptions, 33 yards receiving